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Download Adapting to Climate Change in Eastern Europe and Central by Marianne Fay, Jane Ebinger, Rachel Block PDF

By Marianne Fay, Jane Ebinger, Rachel Block

The sector of jap Europe and principal Asia (ECA) is already experiencing the results of weather switch: expanding variability, hotter temperatures, altered hydrology. occasions comparable to droughts, floods, warmth waves, windstorms, and wooded area fires are expanding in quantity and severity. The focus of greenhouse gases already within the surroundings promises that comparable or better alterations are but to come—even if the area have been to totally cease emitting CO2 this day. This zone is especially susceptible as a result of its legacy of socioeconomic concerns, environmental mismanagement, getting older infrastructure and housing, and under-investment in hydrometeorological, rural, and future health associations. The ensuing edition deficit will exacerbate weather hazards and abate the facility of sectors which can achieve from weather swap, reminiscent of agriculture, to harvest the entire advantages. 'Adapting to weather switch in japanese Europe and vital Asia' provides an summary of what model to weather swap may perhaps suggest for the international locations of ECA. It begins with a dialogue of rising best-practice version making plans all over the world and a evaluation of the most recent weather projections. It then discusses attainable activities to enhance resilience geared up round affects on ordinary assets, overall healthiness, the unbuilt setting of agriculture and forestry, and the equipped surroundings of infrastructure and housing. The booklet concludes with a dialogue of 2 components in nice want of strengthening: catastrophe preparedness and hydrometeorological prone. the subsequent decade bargains a window of chance for ECA international locations to make their improvement extra resilient to weather switch. whereas a few affects of weather switch are already being felt, they're prone to stay potential over the subsequent decade, providing the ECA quarter a quick time period to target activities that experience a number of advantages either this present day and sooner or later.

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Additional resources for Adapting to Climate Change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia

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In particular, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine are often mentioned as the Overview countries with the world’s greatest unrealized food production potential. The fact is that the current gap between potential and actual yields in these countries is significantly higher than any potential gains from climate change. 5 times higher than the potential increase in productivity from climate change by 2050 (Olesen and Bindi 2002). In other words, unless current inefficiencies are addressed, the world’s greatest unrealized food production potential will remain unrealized.

Multicriteria analysis—which complements techniques that rely on criteria expressed solely in monetary terms—can help to distinguish acceptable from unacceptable options (UKCIP 2003). A focus on “robust strategies”—robust in the face of an unpredictable future (Lempert and Schlesinger 2000)—is well suited for dealing with unknown probabilities. This means answering the question: What actions should we take given that we cannot predict the future? as opposed to What is the best strategy given that we expect a particular state of the world to occur?

3. These works stand in contrast to a large academic literature on adaptation that focuses on frameworks and definitions.

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